可供实用的舰船风浪中摇荡时历预报的模式

舰船在风浪中摇荡时历的极短期预报 ,具有多方面的实用价值 .现有的各种预报方法中 ,以卷积法和时间序列法中的ARMA模型较为常用 ,但如何测量艏前波是上述方法实施的前提条件 ,则未能解决 .文中提出的在舰船舯部装塔克测波仪 ,将所测波形时历转换为艏前任意点波形时历的方法 ,可解决上述矛盾 .再采用ARMA建模、依AIC法则估计模型阶数的预报方式 ,即可用于实船进行摇荡时历短期预报     

最小交互熵谱估计在反坦克导弹系统仿真模型验证中的应用

针对反坦克导弹系统动态过程仿真的输出具有短时序、低信噪比的特点 ,研究了应用最小交互熵谱估计验证导弹系统仿真模型有效性的方法 ,并结合某型号滚转稳定的反坦克导弹系统的仿真数据和理论计算数据给出了最小交互熵谱估计的应用结果。     

相似系统间调整因子的量化方法

探讨一种便于操作、系统而量化的方法 ,以预计新研系统的可靠性参数。在相似设备法的基础上 ,提出了利用可量化的调整因子对相似系统的可靠性参数进行转换的方法 ,有效地提高了相似设备法的可操作性和分析精度 ,对研究相似设备法在工程技术领域的应用也具有一定的参考价值     

The resource constrained project scheduling problem with multiple crashable modes: An exact solution method

We introduce a formulation and an exact solution method for a nonpreemptive resource constrained project scheduling problem in which the duration/cost of an activity is determined by the mode selection and the duration reduction (crashing) within the mode. This problem is a natural combination of the time/cost tradeoff problem and the resource constrained project scheduling problem. It involves the determination, for each activity, of its resource requirements, the extent of crashing, and its start time so that the total project cost is minimized. We present a branch and bound procedure and report computational results with a set of 160 problems. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of our procedure. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 107–127, 2001     

防空武器火控系统对空中目标参数估计方法仿真

针对防空武器火控系统的特点,提出了一种防空武器火控系统对空中目标参数估计的方法,可以在不知道目标距离的条件下得到目标的航向角与俯仰角,实现对目标的被动式跟踪,对估计误差的统计特性进行了分析,仿真结果表明了该方法比传统的估计方法更加可行.     

Minimizing weighted earliness and tardiness penalties in single‐machine scheduling with idle time permitted

In this paper, a single‐machine scheduling problem with weighted earliness and tardiness penalties is considered. Idle time between two adjacent jobs is permitted and due dates of jobs could be unequal. The dominance rules are utilized to develop a relationship matrix, which allows a branch‐and‐bound algorithm to eliminate a high percentage of infeasible solutions. After combining this matrix with a branching strategy, a procedure to solve the problem is proposed. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 760–780, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10039     

The logistic–exponential survival distribution

For various parameter combinations, the logistic–exponential survival distribution belongs to four common classes of survival distributions: increasing failure rate, decreasing failure rate, bathtub‐shaped failure rate, and upside‐down bathtub‐shaped failure rate. Graphical comparison of this new distribution with other common survival distributions is seen in a plot of the skewness versus the coefficient of variation. The distribution can be used as a survival model or as a device to determine the distribution class from which a particular data set is drawn. As the three‐parameter version is less mathematically tractable, our major results concern the two‐parameter version. Boundaries for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters are derived in this article. Also, a fixed‐point method to find the maximum likelihood estimators for complete and censored data sets has been developed. The two‐parameter and the three‐parameter versions of the logistic–exponential distribution are applied to two real‐life data sets. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

What you should know about simulation and derivatives

Derivatives (or gradients) are important for both sensitivity analysis and optimization, and in simulation models, these can often be estimated efficiently using various methods other than brute‐force finite differences. This article briefly summarizes the main approaches and discusses areas in which the approaches can most fruitfully be applied: queueing, inventory, and finance. In finance, the focus is on derivatives of another sort. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于频谱分析的飞行模拟器飞行性能验证

介绍频谱分析用于仿真系统模型验证的原理和方法,提出一种应用频谱分析进行飞行模拟器飞行性能验证的方案。结合飞行试验和仿真模型的输出数据,分别采用窗谱估计和最大熵谱估计方法对某型飞行模拟器的飞行性能进行验证,并对验证结果进行分析。结果表明,频谱分析法用于飞行模拟器飞行性能的验证是有效的,可为其他训练模拟器的性能验证提供参考。     

基于模糊自适应变维Kalman滤波器的跟踪算法(英文)

针对不同阶数的Kalman滤波器具有不同的跟踪能力与跟踪效率之间存在的矛盾,设计了一种模糊自适应变维跟踪算法(FAVD)。该算法使用两级滤波器,根据目标机动性的变化,适当地调整滤波器的阶数,使跟踪结果快速收敛,很好地解决了矛盾。同时通过模糊推理机制,在线调节高阶滤波器的参数,使适用范围大大增强,提高自适应能力,从而使该算法可以采用较少的模型覆盖较多的目标运动模式,达到很好的跟踪滤波效果,计算量也会大大减小。通过对计算机仿真结果分析表明,提出的算法具有可靠、计算简便、快速等特点,模型滤波精度较高,并可实现实时跟踪预测,具有一定的理论价值和实用价值。